Canada’s CPI rose in July while core inflation measures remained slightly below target. This suggests that as of now, inflation remains a result of oil prices as opposed to being broadly entrenched in Canada’s economy. … READ MORE >
inflation
Seasonal distortions offer misguided look at U.S. labor market conditions
The U.S. economy is in a good spot heading into the second half of 2026 as the labor market is at full employment while job growth and wages do not imply second-round risks to the economy via the inflation channel. … READ MORE >
Canada’s economic tides are turning following July’s jobs report
Canada added 75,000 jobs in July, which vastly exceeded expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to its lowest in two years. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Lagging wages are the root of the affordability crisis
Although core inflation looks a bit more benign than topline inflation, RSM expects July’s U.S. labor data to reflect flat growth in real wages amid an ongoing affordability crisis. … READ MORE >
Canada’s consumer price index falls to 2.8% due to lower gas prices
Canada’s latest consumer price index data and inflation statistics mark a firm return to price stability—but uncertainty persists regarding energy prices. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada holds interest rate again amid signs of economic recovery
The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25 per cent—a widely expected move, but one delivered with a dovish tone amid ample signs of economic recovery. … READ MORE >
Inflation peaked in May—but return to pre-war levels not coming soon
While it is highly likely that U.S. inflation peaked in May, one should not anticipate a return to pre-war levels of inflation any time soon. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada holds interest rate amid global uncertainty, domestic strain
The Bank of Canada kept its key interest rate at 2.25 per cent—a fifth consecutive hold—due to the elevated level of uncertainty around the direction of the domestic economy and the global financial implications of the war in the Middle East. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Sticky prices and Fed credibility
The key question is whether top-line inflation bleeds into the core inflation rate, which exclude food and energy sectors but includes service sector pricing … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada holds interest rate again as economic uncertainty mounts
The Bank of Canada again maintained its key interest rate in a decision that provided little in the way of new information or an updated evaluation on the rapidly changing global economic environment. … READ MORE >