The dramatic fiscal and monetary response to the pandemic has elicited a structural break in globalization, growth and liquidity regimes that have driven the world’s economies over the past 25 years. … READ MORE >
inflation
Consumer sentiment rises despite worsening inflation expectations
Consumer sentiment rose for the fifth straight month to 59.8 in October but a worsening inflation outlook clouded the otherwise positive news. … READ MORE >
Retail sales stay flat as inflation remains elevated
American consumer spending was unchanged in September, held back mainly by auto and gasoline sales as prices at the pump and auto dealers fell on the month. … READ MORE >
As the U.S. dollar surges, the potential for a currency crisis grows
As central bankers and fiscal authorities seek to balance growth, inflation and financial stability, there is a growing possibility that we are walking into another financial crisis. … READ MORE >
Inflation remains hot, sticky and elevated, implying another supersized rate hike
Both top-line and core inflation remain hot, sticky and elevated, which implies another rate increase of 75 basis points at the Fed’s November meeting. … READ MORE >
RSM UK Financial Conditions Index implies rising risk of instability
The RSM UK Financial Conditions Index is warning of a dramatic increase in credit risk that, along with the depreciation of sterling, has the potential to derail commercial activity. … READ MORE >
Producer prices rebound, keeping pressure on Fed to raise rates
The producer price index rose by 0.4% in September after falling for two straight months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Wednesday. … READ MORE >
Manufacturing slows in September as economy edges closer to contraction
The Institute for Supply Management’s purchasing managers’ index for manufacturing activities dipped to 50.9 in September, the lowest level since May 2020. … READ MORE >
Spending grows, even with higher-than-expected inflation
Despite a sharp drop in energy prices, August’s personal consumption expenditures price index—the Federal Reserve’s key gauge for inflation—rose by 0.3% after falling by 0.1% in July. The price increases ate into spending, bringing spending growth from a 0.4% increase in dollar terms to only a 0.1% gain on inflation-adjusted … … READ MORE >
Pending home sales fall to their lowest level since April 2020
Pending home sales in the United States fell by 2% in August, the third straight monthly decline amid a steep rise in mortgage rates. … READ MORE >