We see a Canadian economy growing around 4% on the year, inflation hitting 5% before easing to 2% by year’s end, and the unemployment rate declining to just above 6%. … READ MORE >
inflation
Powell reappointed to lead the Fed, with Brainard elevated to vice chairwoman
The Biden administration’s widely expected reappointment of Jerome Powell as chairman of the Federal Reserve on Monday is a strong step toward providing stability and clarity for financial markets at a time when the central bank is under pressure to accelerate efforts to address inflation. … READ MORE >
Looking ahead to 2022 and what to expect in the economy
As the economy approaches a full reopening, we expect that growth in 2022 will exceed 4%, the unemployment rate will fall to 3.5% and job growth will average roughly 230,000 per month. … READ MORE >
Inflation in Canada hits 4.7% amid soaring gas prices
October inflation in Canada climbed to 4.7%, the highest since February 2003 and up from 4.4% in September, primarily because of skyrocketing gasoline prices. … READ MORE >
U.S. inflation reached a three-decade high in October
Inflation continued to surge in October, mostly on the back of seasonal influences that boosted the cost of energy, transportation and food, and sending the consumer price index up by 6.2% on an annual basis, a three-decade high. … READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Producer prices rise as cost pressures mount
The producer price index inched up 0.6% in October with about a third of the increase coming from higher gasoline prices. … READ MORE >
Inflation in Canada persists amid shortages
Inflation is proving to be persistent in Canada, with the Consumer Price Index increasing at an annual pace of 4.4% in September amid shortages of workers and supplies. … READ MORE >
Consumer Price Index: Inflation eased in August, but it’s too soon to declare victory
Score a victory for team transitory in the inflation wars. The Consumer Price Index eased in August, reaffirming our view that inflation likely formed a peak in the summer following the historic supply shock that defined pandemic economics starting last year. … READ MORE >
Interest rate update: Inflation expectations remain subdued
At present, and because of greater price volatility due to the sudden reopening of the economy, the surge in consumer demand and subsequent supply chain issues, expectations are for the inflation rate in the next few years to move above 2.3% before settling back to roughly 2.25% over time. … READ MORE >
July Consumer Price Index: Inflation moderates and likely posts cyclical peak at 5.4%
The five-month surge in inflation has most likely resulted in a cyclical peak, reaching 5.4% in July on the back of a 0.5% increase on the month. … READ MORE >