Despite a three-month annualized top-line inflation pace of 1.8% and a six-month rate of 3.3%, prices in the service sector, which comprises 62% of the overall index, increased by 5% on a year-ago basis. … READ MORE >
inflation
U.S. income and spending see strong gains as year nears an end
November had a 0.4% increase in nominal income and spending, while inflation-adjusted spending advanced at a 0.3% pace, according to Commerce Department data released on Friday. … READ MORE >
Fed signals end of rate hikes and projects cuts in 2024
The Federal Reserve signaled at its meeting on Wednesday that it is done raising its policy rate and is poised to reduce it by 75 basis points next year, with more cuts after that. … READ MORE >
U.S. November Consumer Price Index: Inflation continues to abate
Inflation continued to abate in November as energy prices declined by 2.3% and gasoline prices dropped by 6%, resulting in a 0.1% monthly advance in the CPI. … READ MORE >
FOMC preview and the logic of Fed rate cuts in 2024
After nearly two years of raising the federal funds policy rate to restore price stability, the Federal Reserve is poised to all but declare that campaign to be over at its meeting next week. … READ MORE >
Industrial production posts biggest drop this year amid strikes
Production of motor and vehicle parts fell by 10% in October, marking the biggest drop since the beginning of the pandemic. … READ MORE >
Retail sales and producer inflation fall in October
The data for October’s retail sales and producer inflation has raised the probability of a soft landing by a significant margin. … READ MORE >
U.S. October jobs report: Moderation in hiring as wage gains outpace inflation
The economy added 150,000 jobs in October with the unemployment rate at 3.9%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday. … READ MORE >
Spending stayed robust in September as inflation steadied
Friday’s data on spending and income, together with recent data on gross domestic product, have pointed to a booming economy that should push back any speculation for an imminent recession. … READ MORE >
Resilient U.S. economy grows 4.9% in third quarter
A resilient American economy continued to defy expectations by growing at a 4.9% pace in the third quarter because of one-time factors inside the consumption channel and because of sustained gains in U.S. labor dynamics and modest real income gains. … READ MORE >