Economic growth appeared much softer in the first five months of the year following the release of key economic data on Thursday. Slower-than-anticipated growth should push the Federal Reserve closer to cutting interest rates. Read more of RSM's insights on the economy, manufacturing and the middle ... READ MORE >
initial jobless claims
Jobless claims ease as housing starts drop
Initial jobless claims dropped by 5,000 last week to 238,000 yet remained elevated near a 10-month high. For now, the spike in new claims in the previous weeks looks a lot more like a seasonal issue than a deterioration in labor market conditions. In contrast, housing starts fell in May to the lowest ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims jump as inflation continues to improve
Initial jobless claims jumped to 242,000 for the week ending June 8 from 229,000 the week before, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. The latest figure was the highest level in almost a year, nearing the threshold of 250,000 that in our view signals conditions for a possible recession. It ... READ MORE >
U.S. new home sales miss forecasts amid rising mortgage rates
New home sales fell below estimates in April as mortgage rates surged to above 7%. The data, released by the Census Bureau on Thursday, pointed to a disappointing month for housing sales, following the drop in April’s existing home sales released on Wednesday. The rebound in inflation in the first ... READ MORE >
Soft housing and manufacturing data fuels prospect of rate cut
Economic data on housing, manufacturing and jobs released on Thursday pointed to softer-than-expected economic activity in the second quarter. Most notably was April’s data on housing starts and permits, which not only came in below estimates, but prior readings were also revised down. Rising mortgage ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims rise to the highest level since August
Initial jobless claims rose by 231,000, the highest level since August, for the week ending May. 4 partly because of a one-time surge in New York as school vacations began. At the same time, new filings rose in many other states as well in a sign of rising layoffs and a cooling labor market. But the ... READ MORE >
Existing home sales plunge amid stable jobless claims
March proved challenging for the housing market as sales of existing homes plummeted by 4.3%, marking the steepest drop since November 2022, according to the National Association of Realtors on Thursday. This decline mirrors earlier setbacks in housing starts and permits. A significant uptick in ... READ MORE >
Initial claims reflect remarkable job security in American economy
Initial claims for jobless benefits for the week ending March 30 show that American workers continue to have remarkable job security. First-time claims increased to 221,000 from an upwardly revised 212,000 during the previous week, which was modestly above our preferred metric, the 13-week moving average, ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims fall to lowest in a month
Initial claims for unemployment insurance have once again defied expectations this year, continuing to signal a tight labor market that benefits workers. New claims fell by 12,000 to 201,000 for the week ending Feb. 17, according to the Labor Department's data on Thursday. With the exception of a ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims and housing starts post upside surprises
Filings for jobless benefits fell last week to their lowest level in 16 months, a testament for how resilient the labor market continues to be. Initial claims declined to 187,000 from 203,000 in the previous week, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. That was much lower than the pre-pandemic ... READ MORE >