The employment cost index accelerated above expectations in the first quarter, complicating the Federal Reserve's decision of when to start cutting its policy rate. The index, a closely watched indicator of labor costs by the Fed, will almost certainly guarantee a more hawkish tone from the central ... READ MORE >
interest rates
American consumers continue to spend despite sticky inflation
Spending remained strong in March on the heels of robust income growth despite sticky inflation, according to Commerce Department data released on Friday. The data pointed to the underlying strength of the economy and provided a rebuttal of sorts to the disappointing gross domestic product figure ... READ MORE >
GDP growth slows to 1.6% in first quarter, exaggerated by volatile trade and inventory data
Overall growth in U.S. gross domestic product fell to 1.6% in the first quarter, but the slowdown was exaggerated by volatile trade and inventory data, which provided a 1.2% drag on overall activity. Final sales to domestic purchasers, by contrast, which exclude inventories and trade, increased by ... READ MORE >
Business equipment spending grows in March
Shipments of core capital goods rebounded in March, adding to the reasons why the data for gross domestic product should show an upside surprise when it is released on Thursday. The core capital goods shipments data, which excludes defense and aircraft, feeds into the calculation of GDP is a proxy for ... READ MORE >
Regime change: Businesses face higher costs in nominal and real terms
Higher-for-longer now applies to more than just the federal funds policy rate. It means a regime change for companies of all sizes when it comes to the cost of financing expansion or funding their operations. Whether it be high single-digit borrowing costs for large multinationals or double-digit ... READ MORE >
Industrial production rebounds as housing starts plunge
Tuesday's mixed data on housing and industrial production shows how both sectors remained on a bumpy path as a result of elevated interest rates. Housing starts dropped by 14.7% to 1.32 million on an annualized rate, the lowest level since last August, while permits, a proxy for future projects, also ... READ MORE >
U.S. consumer sentiment falls as inflation stays sticky
Consumer sentiment in the United States ticked down in April in a sign of the impact of rising inflation, particularly gasoline prices, over the past three months. The consumer sentiment index fell to 77.9 from 79.4, according to the University of Michigan survey on Friday. While the index is ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada holds its rate at 5% in dovish statement
The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 5% at its meeting on Tuesday, as widely expected, while continuing its restrictive monetary policy of quantitative tightening. But the central bank made a marked shift in its statement, turning from a focus on inflation to one on growth with a decidedly ... READ MORE >
Hot inflation data dims prospects for a Fed rate cut in June
The U.S. consumer price index came in above expectations for March, putting the Federal Reserve in a difficult position as it seeks to starting cutting interest rates this year. Both overall and core inflation remained unchanged at 0.4% monthly, the third consecutive month that the overall CPI ... READ MORE >
Financial markets update: An improved outlook for corporate borrowing
Improved financial conditions, a dynamic labor market and wage growth that is exceeding inflation all should bolster corporate earnings this year in the United States. Most important, with productivity improving, the potential for greater corporate profits and rising margins will be a theme in ... READ MORE >