Such an increase would follow a series of 75 basis-point increases and would lift the Fed’s policy rate to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. … READ MORE >
interest rates
Producer price inflation hotter than expected ahead of Fed’s meeting
The producer price index for final demand rose by 0.3% in November and by 7.4% year-over-year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday. … READ MORE >
Jobless claims show an uptick in layoffs
New filings for jobless claims inched up by 1.8% last week to 230,000, remaining above the pre-pandemic level for the fifth week in a row. … READ MORE >
U.S. service sector grows, adding pressure on Fed
The Institute for Supply Management’s service index rose in November as business activities increased on the month. … READ MORE >
U.S. economic outlook: Recession on the horizon
Our baseline forecast for the American economy next year calls for a mild recession by the second half of the year as the impact of higher interest rates sets in. … READ MORE >
U.S. jobs report: Rising wages pose a problem as hiring remains strong
average hourly earnings increased by 5.1% on a year-ago basis and by 0.6% on the month in addition to being revised higher in October. … READ MORE >
Canada job gains slow in November
The Canadian economy added 10,100 jobs in November, easing some of the concerns over an overheating labor market after a blockbuster October jobs report. … READ MORE >
Manufacturing sector nears contraction
The ISM’s manufacturing index slowed to 49%, barely above the contraction threshold at 48.7%. It was the third straight decline as demand for manufactured goods stalled. … READ MORE >
The post-pandemic era and the end of hyper-globalization
The American economy is in the midst of a long-lasting structural change following the severe shocks unleashed by the pandemic. … READ MORE >
RSM US Supply Chain Index returns to pre-pandemic level
Our RSM US Supply Chain Index pointed to supply efficiency for the fourth month in a row, reaching 0.49 standard deviations above neutral in October. … READ MORE >