Reasons for increasing interest rates are plentiful amid strong core inflation, high inflation expectations, a tight labor market, and excess demand in the economy. … READ MORE >
interest rates
As turmoil grows, foreign banks and investors flock to the dollar
Whether it is the purchase of short-term Treasury notes, deposits in U.S. financial institutions or a use of the Fed’s overnight reverse repurchase facility, investors are in a flight to safety … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims fall below pre-pandemic level
New claims for jobless benefits fell by 5.3% to 214,000, below the pre-pandemic average in 2019 as layoffs remain historically low. … READ MORE >
U.S. housing starts continue to fall amid rate hikes
New housing starts fell by 8.1% in September as the impact of rising mortgage rates worked through the housing market. … READ MORE >
Canada’s inflation refuses to cool
Canada’s CPI rose by 6.9% on a year-over-year basis, slightly down from 7% in August, continuing a three-month streak of decline. … READ MORE >
End of an era? Bond market selloff prompts a new regime
The dramatic fiscal and monetary response to the pandemic has elicited a structural break in globalization, growth and liquidity regimes that have driven the world’s economies over the past 25 years. … READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment rises despite worsening inflation expectations
Consumer sentiment rose for the fifth straight month to 59.8 in October but a worsening inflation outlook clouded the otherwise positive news. … READ MORE >
Inflation remains hot, sticky and elevated, implying another supersized rate hike
Both top-line and core inflation remain hot, sticky and elevated, which implies another rate increase of 75 basis points at the Fed’s November meeting. … READ MORE >
Producer prices rebound, keeping pressure on Fed to raise rates
The producer price index rose by 0.4% in September after falling for two straight months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Wednesday. … READ MORE >
Canada’s job market shows little sign of slowing
Canada’s economy in September reversed the slowing labour market of the summer, adding 21,100 jobs while unemployment fell to 5.2%, according to government data released Friday. … READ MORE >