The decline in U.S. gross domestic product growth in the second quarter was less than previously estimated, and jobless claims fell by 0.,8%. … READ MORE >
interest rates
Expectations at the end of business cycles
The Federal Reserve has a blunt yet effective instrument to fight inflation: raising the federal funds rate. But using it requires a delicate balancing act. We offer a snapshot of what to look for as the economic cycle plays out. … READ MORE >
Jackson Hole preview: Powell to set tone for next few years
Policymakers, investors and firms should prepare for a regime change in inflation that will require tighter monetary policy ahead as the central bank lifts the policy rate to 4% by the end of the year. … READ MORE >
Canada’s jobs fall in July as unemployment rate remains steady
Canada’s economy shed 31,000 jobs in July while the unemployment rate remained at a historic low of 4.9%, confirming what the strong gross domestic product numbers have been showing: The economy is not in recession. … READ MORE >
Monetary policy tightening, the bond market and the business cycle
Economic shocks including inflation, interest rate increases and energy market turmoil are hitting the global economy and showing up in fixed income markets. … READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment eases as industrial production falls
The drop in long-term inflation expectations was quite significant, down to 2.8%, the lowest in about a year, from 3.1%. … READ MORE >
Latest jobless claims and producer inflation show upside surprises
New filings for jobless benefits last week rose by 3.8% to 244,000 while producer inflation rose by a surprisingly strong 1.1% in June. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada raises its policy rate by 1% to tame inflation
The Bank of Canada announced a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday, the largest increase since 1998, in an attempt to restore price stability. … READ MORE >
U.S. June CPI: Persistent top-line inflation hits 9.1%
The top-line inflation rate hit 9.1% in June on the back of a 11.2% increase in gasoline prices and a 7.5% jump in overall energy prices … READ MORE >
U.S. employment report for June indicates no recession now
An American economy in free fall does not tend to produce 372,000 jobs in any given month, as the June employment report showed on Friday. The data released by the Labor Department strongly implied that the economy is not in recession. … READ MORE >