A look at U.S. wage growth ahead of the November U.S. jobs report to be released today should translate to a gain of 3.9% on a year-ago basis. … READ MORE >
interest rates
Morning market minute: Return of the term premium on Treasury notes
While the term premium is modest, given the changing policy matrix amid a strong economy, we expect yields in the new year to move to 4.5% with risk of a move to 5% or higher. … READ MORE >
October job openings surge as labor market shows resilience
Total job openings in October rose to 7.74 million from 7.37 million, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Tuesday. … READ MORE >
Inflation proving stubborn as major policy changes await
given the looming fiscal and trade policy changes, it is growing more likely that the central bank will pause its rate-cutting campaign to ascertain their impact on the economy. … READ MORE >
Year ahead in Canada: Return to growth as rate cuts take hold
The Canadian economy is expected to grow at around two per cent in 2025 as unemployment falls and price stability is restored. … READ MORE >
Housing starts and permits fall in October as hurricanes take a toll
The total number of starts in October was 1.3 million, marking the 30th straight month of staying below our long-term sustainable level of 1.7 million. … READ MORE >
Canada’s prices for services and shelter decelerated in October
Canada’s consumer price index accelerated in October, but that increase will not deter a rate cut by the Bank of Canada in December. … READ MORE >
U.S. retail sales decelerated in October
The mixed results in the October report should not change the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut its policy rate in December. … READ MORE >
Hurricanes and sticky service and housing prices propped up inflation in October
One-time special factors and ongoing sticky shelter and service prices combined to cause an increase of 2.6% in the consumer price index in October. … READ MORE >
Fed cuts rate by a quarter point ahead of a possible pause
Slowing inflation and strong productivity gains imply that the Fed has ample room to keep cutting rates next year. … READ MORE >