Top-line inflation declined by 0.1% on the month in December and increased by 6.5% on an annual basis. … READ MORE >
Jerome Powell
U.S. economy generates 4.5 million jobs in 2022 as labor market remains hot
The American economy added 223,000 jobs in December, the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% and wages increased by 4.6%. … READ MORE >
FOMC decision: Fed lifts policy rate to range of 4.25% to 4.5%
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday lifted its policy rate by 50 basis points and laid the groundwork for an eventual pause in interest rate increases early next year. … READ MORE >
When will inflation slow? Pay attention to housing.
We estimate that there is an approximately 18-month lag between changes in housing prices and those in the housing inflation components. … READ MORE >
Fed raises its policy rate by 75 basis points as it prepares to slow pace of hikes
The Federal Reserve increased its policy rate by 75 basis points on Wednesday to a range between 3.75% and 4% as it hinted at slowing the pace of its hikes. … READ MORE >
Job openings and manufacturing production grow more than expected
Job openings came in hotter than expected in September, suggesting that the imbalance in the labor market will take longer to resolve than originally anticipated. … READ MORE >
Powell at Jackson Hole: From era of abundance to one of insufficient supply
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was blunt in his remarks at Jackson Hole, Wyo.: “Reducing inflation is likely to require a sustained period of below-trend growth.” … READ MORE >
Jackson Hole preview: Powell to set tone for next few years
Policymakers, investors and firms should prepare for a regime change in inflation that will require tighter monetary policy ahead as the central bank lifts the policy rate to 4% by the end of the year. … READ MORE >
FOMC preview: 50-basis-point hikes through September
We expect that the Federal Open Market Committee this week will lift the federal funds policy rate by 50 basis points to a range between 1.25% and 1.5%. … READ MORE >
Why excess labor demand is unhealthy
We believe the imbalance in the labor market should prompt companies to reassess their growth potential, and as a result, their demand for labor. … READ MORE >