Outside of a one-time, non-replicable increase of 80,000 state and local jobs in June, the labor market, like the economy, is cooling. … READ MORE >
Joe Brusuelas
Cooler spending and inflation data reflect slowing economy
May income, spending and inflation data points toward a consumer adjusting to a more challenging economic environment and should dampen talk of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in July or September. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: The perils of appointing a shadow Fed chair
Such an appointment would cut against the grain of Fed independence and its institutional credibility developed over the past half century. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: In financial conditions, it’s as if nothing happened
The rebound in equities suggests that investors have shrugged off tariffs, and it is as if the Middle East conflict never really happened. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz at risk
The prospect of an expansion of hostilities in the Middle East has put in focus a potential oil supply shock if shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is significantly disrupted. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Canada’s trade outlook not as bleak as feared
While uncertainty plagues Canada’s trade outlook, a relatively low U.S. effective tariff rate means things might not be as bleak as they seemed back in March. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Investment in an age of uncertainty
Investors should prepare for an extended period of dollar weakness, inflation and higher interest rates. … READ MORE >
The Market Minute from Joe Brusuelas, now available in your in-box
RSM Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas, In his daily Market Minute, offers a forward-looking analysis of the issues affecting businesses, markets and the economy … READ MORE >
U.S. job creation continues to cool as tariffs begin to take hold
Job creation continued to cool in May as the economy created 139,000 jobs, just above the RSM forecast of 125,000, and the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2%. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: May jobs report to reflect a modest cooling
We expect a gain of 125,000 jobs and a modest increase in the unemployment rate to 4.3% when the U.S. employment report for May is released on Friday. … READ MORE >