Recent developments imply a possible economic turning point in the business cycle—and understanding economic surprise indices is key. … READ MORE >
Joseph Brusuelas
Market Minute: What trade policy whiplash could mean for inventories
Businesses experiencing trade policy whiplash are seeking to get as much as possible into U.S. ports before higher import taxes are enforced. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Manufacturing stuck in slow growth despite increased shipments
While shipments of durable goods manufactured in the U.S. are increasing, it’s clear that manufacturing is stuck in a period of slow growth. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: U.S. economy rests on the wealthy continuing to spend
The K-shaped economy that has defined the U.S. in the post-pandemic era is predicated on upper-income groups continuing to spend at a strong clip. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Financial market volatility could be returning—here’s why
After days of repose to start the summer, conditions are aligning for a return of financial market volatility for the rest of the year. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada holds interest rate amid economic resilience, trade tensions
The Bank of Canada held its key interest rate at 2.75 per cent amid Canada’s overall economic resilience and ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: The widening gap between equities and the real economy
Equities have become priced to perfection recently, fueled by bank and tech earnings that have exceeded expectations. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Shipping activity remains lower at U.S. seaports
Higher tariffs have taken a toll on shipping activity at American ports. But oil and natural exports have provided a steadying influence on exports. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Global central bank outlook
Divergence figures to be the primary theme in global central banking during the final six months of the year as policymakers around the world adjust to higher American tariffs. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Canadians and Europeans ice out U.S. on travel
In the first five months of this year, the number of international visitors dropped by 12% in March and 3% in May. … READ MORE >