Despite uncertainty caused by changing economic policies, investor interest in high-yield corporate debt is providing a tailwind for the economy. … READ MORE >
Market minute
Market Minute: Subdued forecasts for growth in developed economies
The OECD points to further downside risks to international trade, increased concerns about the fiscal health of the economies, renewed inflation pressures and financial instability. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Do falling heavy truck sales indicate recession?
Since 1979, a collapse in sales of heavy trucks has coincided with recessions. But recent history tells a more nuanced story. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Temporary relief for 30-year yields?
Yields have been rising as investors question the sustainability of higher government spending and the willingness of central banks to keep inflation expectations in check … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Rising input prices curb appetite for capital expenditure investment
Manufacturers continue to expect higher input prices while holding mixed expectations regarding capital expenditure in the next six months. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: U.S. residential investment never recovered after financial crisis
American residential investment, which stands at 3.3% of gross domestic product, remains tepid at best amid an affordability crisis that will not be solved anytime soon. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: U.S. July jobs report preview
We expect a net gain of 150,000 jobs and an increase in the unemployment rate to 4.2% when the U.S. employment report for July is released on Friday. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Spending slowing as consumers navigate uncertainty
We expect a 0.3% increase in personal spending in June as consumers increase outlays following the 0.1% decline in May. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Stagflation and dissent at the FOMC
We expect the federal funds rate to remain in a range between 4.25% and 4.5% at the FOMC meeting this week and we do not expect Chairman Jerome Powell to imply that a September rate cut is in the cards either. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: The widening gap between equities and the real economy
Equities have become priced to perfection recently, fueled by bank and tech earnings that have exceeded expectations. … READ MORE >