The Bank of Canada will almost certainly leave its policy rate unchanged when it meets this week, but the tone of its statement will shift to dovish as bank officials recognize easing inflation, the slowing labour market and stagnant growth. We expect that the central bank's first rate cut will occur ... READ MORE >
mortgage rates
Existing home sales exceed forecasts as prices jump
Existing home sales came in much stronger than expected to post the biggest monthly increase in a year, the National Association of Realtors reported on Thursday. There were 4.38 million existing homes sold in February, up by 9.5% from a month ago. Given that February's increase was the third in nine ... READ MORE >
New home sales grew more slowly in January amid elevated mortgage rates
Sales of new homes grew by 1.5% in January, much slower than the 7.2% increase in December, most likely because of elevated mortgage rates. January's sales were also lower than estimated while December's increase was revised down from the 8% increase reported earlier by the Census Bureau. Slower sales ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims and housing starts post upside surprises
Filings for jobless benefits fell last week to their lowest level in 16 months, a testament for how resilient the labor market continues to be. Initial claims declined to 187,000 from 203,000 in the previous week, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. That was much lower than the pre-pandemic ... READ MORE >
Canada’s economy contracted more than expected, suggesting a pivot on rates
Canada’s economy contracted more than expected in the third quarter, suggesting that the Bank of Canada might soon pivot to cutting rates, as early as April, to avoid a deeper recession than needed. Canada’s gross domestic product declined by 0.3 per cent in the third quarter and by 1.1 per cent on an ... READ MORE >
U.S. existing home sales plunged to their lowest level since 2010
Sales of existing homes in the United States extended their slump for the fifth consecutive month, primarily because of elevated mortgage rates that have dampened both demand and supply. Read more of RSM's insights on real estate and the middle market. In October, sales of existing homes dropped to ... READ MORE >
Existing home sales fall to the lowest level since 2010
Existing home sales fell in September to the lowest level since 2010 as mortgage rates hit a multidecade high. Even if the Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady in the next two months, the lagged impact of monetary tightening, especially quantitative tightening, has continued to put pressure on ... READ MORE >
Housing prices set a record as consumer confidence dips
Economic data released on Tuesday added more mixed signals on the housing market in the wake of the wide fluctuations in mortgage rates over the past two months. At the same time, consumer confidence fell to the lowest level in four months as expectations markedly deteriorated. To begin with, housing ... READ MORE >
Housing starts fall to three-year low amid 7% mortgage rate
Housing starts in the United States fell by a sharp 11.3% in August, the second double-digit drop in three months, signaling more strain on the housing market because of elevated mortgage rates that exceed 7%. August's number was the lowest since June 2020 as the pandemic set in, according to Commerce ... READ MORE >
Canada’s economy contracts as higher interest rates take a toll
The picture of an economic slowdown is coming into focus as the Canadian economy contracted in the second quarter because of declining housing investments and household spending. Gross domestic product fell by 0.2% in the second quarter, according to data released by Statistics Canada on Friday. On ... READ MORE >