Households are preparing for what they believe will be another price shock caused by an increase in the costs of goods through a policy-induced trade shock. … READ MORE >
personal income
Inflation falls to lowest level since February 2021
With the productivity boom and more interest rate cuts coming, the economy is poised to repeat the economic growth and prosperity of the 1990s. … READ MORE >
Fed’s key inflation gauge shows price stability as consumers hit the accelerator
The American economy is poised to grow at or above the long-term 1.8% rate as the Fed begins its rate-cutting campaign, which should put a floor under growth and hiring. … READ MORE >
January inflation and spending data implies more noise than trend
The Federal Reserve’s closely watched measure of inflation, the personal consumption expenditures index, continued to show strength in January, rising by 0.3% on the month and by 2.4% from a year ago. … READ MORE >
U.S. income and spending see strong gains as year nears an end
November had a 0.4% increase in nominal income and spending, while inflation-adjusted spending advanced at a 0.3% pace, according to Commerce Department data released on Friday. … READ MORE >
Spending stayed robust in September as inflation steadied
Friday’s data on spending and income, together with recent data on gross domestic product, have pointed to a booming economy that should push back any speculation for an imminent recession. … READ MORE >
Key gauges of prices and labor rise, affirming likelihood of rate hikes
Two of the Federal Reserve’s closely watched gauges for prices and labor costs released on Friday reaffirmed expectations that the central bank will begin raising interest rates in March as the Fed moves to tame inflation. … READ MORE >
Personal income, spending and savings are getting back to normal
Households are spending more and savings less, enjoying their summer and getting ready for school, as government data on personal income and spending released on Friday suggests. In short, households are getting back to normal. … READ MORE >
U.S. personal income and savings: Households are building impressive cash positions
Americans’ personal income increased by 0.6% in December, driving savings positions higher. The gains are creating the conditions for what we believe will be a consumer-led boom in the second half of the year. … READ MORE >