The Fed maintained its policy rate in a range between 5.25% and 5.5% while revisions to its Summary of Economic Projections strongly imply that the central bank no longer expects a recession. … READ MORE >
policy rate
Fed pauses rate hikes while signaling a tightening bias
The Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday kept its policy rate in a range between 5% and 5.25% while signaling that it will most likely hike the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at least twice before the end of the year. … READ MORE >
March inflation data points to a Fed rate peak in May
The inflation outlook improved in March because of a mix of year-over-year base effects and a significant decline in energy prices, all of which caused the top-line reading to decline to 5% from 6% previously. … READ MORE >
Financial shock sending Fed proxy rate into restrictive terrain
Should the crisis deteriorate further, with more bank seizures and further problems inside systemically financially important institutions, then the degree of financial shock is equivalent to 150 basis points of tightening. … READ MORE >
Coordinated central bank action follows the Credit Suisse-UBS merger
Global central banks acted over the weekend to stem dollar funding pressures in financial markets as investors digested the forced merger of Credit Suisse and UBS. … READ MORE >
February’s jobs report is likely to generate more questions than answers
We expect a net change in total employment of 310,000 when the jobs data for February is released on Friday, with many of the gains attributable to seasonal fluctuations in hiring. … READ MORE >
RSM revises its Fed call as inflation proves sticky
We now expect at least three 25 basis-point hikes at the Fed’s March, May and June policy meetings with the risk of a 50 basis-point hike in March. … READ MORE >
FOMC preview: Fed to slow pace of rate hikes to 25 basis points
Our base case remains that the Federal Reserve’s policy rate will peak between 5% and 5.25% and stay there until early next year. … READ MORE >
FOMC decision: Fed lifts policy rate to range of 4.25% to 4.5%
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday lifted its policy rate by 50 basis points and laid the groundwork for an eventual pause in interest rate increases early next year. … READ MORE >