The Federal Reserve on Wednesday reduced its policy rate by 50 basis points to a range between 4.75% and 5% to protect full employment and preserve the soft landing it has achieved following a historic price shock. The central bank also laid out a path of monetary policy that suggests additional 25 ... READ MORE >
summary of economic projections
Fed holds rates steady as it implies three rate cuts in 2024
The Federal Reserve is looking to cut its policy rate three times this year, according to information inferred from the Summary of Economic Projections and policy statement released on Wednesday. The cuts would reduce the policy rate by 75 basis points, from the current range between 5.25% and 5.5% ... READ MORE >
FOMC preview and the logic of Fed rate cuts in 2024
After nearly two years of raising the federal funds rate to restore price stability, the Federal Reserve is poised to all but declare that campaign to be over at its meeting next week. While the Federal Open Market Committee is likely to keep its policy statement largely unchanged, that statement ... READ MORE >
Low core inflation should keep the Fed from hiking rates
While we expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates unchanged on Wednesday, what its updated Summary of Economic Projections will look like remains less clear. More likely than not, given the recent robust economic data, we might see higher growth and inflation reflected in the summary along with an ... READ MORE >
Fed pauses rate hikes while signaling a tightening bias
The Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday kept its policy rate in a range between 5% and 5.25% while signaling that it will most likely hike the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at least twice before the end of the year. This implies a possible policy peak of 5.75% later this year. ... READ MORE >
Catch-25: Fed hikes rates amid financial stability risk
Joseph Heller’s novel “Catch-22” delved into the impossible conditions imposed upon people caught in situations from which there is no escape because of mutually conflicting or dependent conditions. That Catch-22 is an apt description of where the Federal Reserve finds itself as it lifted its ... READ MORE >
FOMC policy decision: Fed signals tapering is on the way
The Federal Reserve is planning to slow the pace of its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases even as it keeps its policy rate at zero, it suggested in its policy statement released on Wednesday. The statement came as the central bank is split on whether to begin raising rates late next year or in early ... READ MORE >
FOMC meeting: Prelude to tapering amid global financial turbulence
Monetary policy is always a difficult judgment call. Balancing growing global risk aversion, domestic political turmoil and general uncertainty around the underlying condition of the real economy make this week’s Federal Open Market Committee policy decision a bit more challenging than what many ... READ MORE >
FOMC preview: Updated economic projections
The Federal Reserve meeting this week will be the first under its new policy framework of average inflation targeting. While the Fed is in the process of moving toward forward guidance organized around inflation outcomes, we do not expect the central bank to announce the principles around which such a ... READ MORE >