The risk now is that initial positive market reactions wane over the next few days and weeks as more details from this complex budget become clearer. … READ MORE >
Thomas Pugh
RSM UK’s outlook for 2026: Fiscal contraction brings short-term pain
A large fiscal contraction combined with weak consumer confidence and sagging business sentiment means we expect growth of only 0.8% in 2026. … READ MORE >
UK financial conditions provide tailwind amid fiscal uncertainty
Financial conditions in the UK imply a solid tailwind for growth from the financial sector even as uncertainty over fiscal policy weighs heavily on the real economy, where hiring has slowed. … READ MORE >
Global central bank policy pivot continues as ECB cuts rate
The rate cuts in Europe and Canada are likely to be followed by the Bank of England in August and the Fed this fall. … READ MORE >
Risk in UK financial markets eases ahead of new government
U.K. financial markets continue to price in higher levels of risk into the value of holding securities but appear on the verge of turning the corner, RSM’s proprietary data shows. … READ MORE >
RSM UK Financial Conditions Index implies rising risk of instability
The RSM UK Financial Conditions Index is warning of a dramatic increase in credit risk that, along with the depreciation of sterling, has the potential to derail commercial activity. … READ MORE >