Retail sales slowed sharply to a 0.5% increase from March’s 1.6% surge, but the underlying details were better than expected. … READ MORE >
Tuan Nguyen
RSM’s Brusuelas and Nguyen again named among top forecasters
Brusuelas and Nguyen were rated fifth by Bloomberg in the overall accuracy of their economics forecasts for the first quarter of 2026, continuing their run among the elite forecasters. … READ MORE >
U.S. retail sales exceed estimates, lifted by strong demand
The U.S. retail sales report released on Tuesday was a strong one by any measure. Twelve of thirteen categories rose, the most in months. … READ MORE >
Producer inflation rises less than forecast
March producer prices rose by 0.5%, driven largely by energy costs. Oil prices have eased since, but supply disruptions are unlikely to fade anytime soon. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: RSM GDP Nowcast showing 4.5% growth in first quarter
We can be confident that the rebound in government spending following the extended shutdown last fall will add about 1 to 1.5 percentage points to overall GDP growth. … READ MORE >
Major economic indicators point to stronger growth
The impact of AI investment and the easing of tariff concerns showed up across much of the data. … READ MORE >
That was one noisy retail sales report
Headline retail sales were unchanged, missing the 0.4% increase economists expected. … READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment ticks up, but don’t hang your hat on it
The gains in sentiment were concentrated among households with the largest stock portfolios, while confidence stagnated and remained dismal for consumers without equity exposure. … READ MORE >
Consumer confidence plunges to lowest level since 2014
The Conference Board’s index fell to 84.5, missing the consensus forecast of 90.0 and marking the lowest reading since May 2014. … READ MORE >
Americans spent big in November as inflation moderated
Despite a number of lingering concerns over tariffs and jobs, consumer spending continued to be strong in November. … READ MORE >