Just as inflation appeared to be coming under control in recent months, rising tensions in the Middle East have shaken this view and now represent the major risk to our economic and inflation outlooks. The focus of this new uncertainty centers on the energy markets, which have been roiled by ... READ MORE >
U.S. consumer price index
CPI: Fed to remain patient as real wages rise 1.4%
Energy and goods disinflation continue to underscore slower growth in the U.S. Consumer Price index, which increased by 0.3% on the month and by 3.1% on an annual basis, according to Labor Department data released on Tuesday. Disinflation in the energy and the goods sectors has now resulted in a ... READ MORE >
U.S. November Consumer Price Index: Inflation continues to abate
Inflation continued to abate in November as energy prices declined by 2.3% and gasoline prices dropped by 6%, resulting in a 0.1% monthly advance in the Consumer Price Index and a 3.1% annual increase. Over the past three months, the decline in top-line inflation implies that the overall rate is ... READ MORE >
FOMC preview and the logic of Fed rate cuts in 2024
After nearly two years of raising the federal funds rate to restore price stability, the Federal Reserve is poised to all but declare that campaign to be over at its meeting next week. While the Federal Open Market Committee is likely to keep its policy statement largely unchanged, that statement ... READ MORE >
U.S. October consumer price index: Further evidence of disinflation
If one was looking for evidence of a soft landing and a sustained economic expansion, look no further than the October consumer price index. Disinflation inside the October consumer price index caused by falling commodity, oil and gasoline prices resulted in no increase in inflation on the month ... READ MORE >