Hiring is cooling and we expect that will define the second half of the year as firms manage their mix of capital and labor to meet demand. … READ MORE >
U.S. jobs report
Expect strong U.S. jobs report for August, but the devil is in the details
We expect a net gain in total employment of 175,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.2% when the employment report is released on Sept. 6. … READ MORE >
U.S. July employment report to show a gain of 200,000 jobs
The second, and more important, element of the jobs report will be the direction of the unemployment rate, which has been rising as more people, lured by rising wages, enter the workforce. … READ MORE >
Slower pace of hiring in June bolsters case for Fed rate cut
The June jobs report should send a signal to the Fed that with inflation sitting at 2.6%, conditions are aligning for a rate cut in September. … READ MORE >
U.S. jobs report: Strong demand for labor continues its remarkable run in May
Labor demand continues to increase at a remarkably strong pace, which removes the prospect of a July rate hike and creates the sense that the Federal Reserve may fall further behind other central banks as they pivot to lower rates. … READ MORE >
Robust jobs growth continues in health care
Health care job gains remain strong, according to the U.S. monthly report on April numbers. … READ MORE >
U.S. monthly employment report: Hiring cools in April
Hiring cooled in April from the torrid pace of 269,000 jobs on average during the first three months of 2024 as the economy generated an average increase of 175,000 in total employment. … READ MORE >
U.S. jobs report: American exceptionalism amid dynamic growth
The American economy continued to show resilience in March, adding 303,000 jobs as the unemployment rate dropped to 3.8%. … READ MORE >
Full employment, low inflation and a virtuous cycle in the American economy
Today, we think that the economy has reached full employment and that a virtuous cycle that bolsters productivity and dampens inflation is now possible. … READ MORE >
U.S. employment report: Robust hiring continued in February
Sustained demand for labor in the American economy was on vivid display on Friday as the Labor Department reported that 275,000 jobs were created in February. … READ MORE >