The tailwind in the American economy resulted in 143,000 jobs added in January and a decline in the jobless rate to 4%. … READ MORE >
U.S. unemployment rate
American exceptionalism: Job gains of 256,000 to temper calls for further rate cuts
The American economy remains at full employment and will remain tight for the near future, which should temper calls for the Federal Reserve to cut rates further. … READ MORE >
Morning market minute: Net immigration, population growth and U.S. employment
This influx of immigrants is one of many reasons why the U.S. economy has grown by nearly 3% over the past two years. … READ MORE >
Hiring rebounded in November following weather-distorted October report
After the distortions In October’s jobs report caused by two hurricanes, the American labor market bounced back in November with the creation of 227,000 jobs. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims climb amid holiday volatility
First-time claims for unemployment benefits increased to 224,000 Last week, in line with the 13-week moving average of 226,000. … READ MORE >
Morning market minute: The mystery of rising long-term unemployment
But there a mystery amid today’s strong labor market: Longer-term unemployment of greater than 27 weeks is on the rise. … READ MORE >
Distortions in the October U.S. jobs report mask underlying strength
We would urge investors, firm managers and policymakers not to overinterpret the temporary factors driving the top-line decline and to expect a similar dynamic in the November jobs estimate. … READ MORE >
Why the labor market is stronger than the unemployment rate indicates
At least 19% of the increase in the unemployment rate from 2023 to 2024 can be explained by the increase in labor supply. Since 2021, the return of workers to the labor force, in addition to new additions from immigration and population growth, has been a key driver of overall unemployment in the U.S. … READ MORE >
U.S. August jobs report: A soft landing in the economy
Hiring is cooling and we expect that will define the second half of the year as firms manage their mix of capital and labor to meet demand. … READ MORE >
Expect strong U.S. jobs report for August, but the devil is in the details
We expect a net gain in total employment of 175,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.2% when the employment report is released on Sept. 6. … READ MORE >