Investors are increasingly questioning whether the extraordinary investments in AI will pay off. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Reality check for oil prices and production
Whatever volatility occurs in oil prices in the coming days, it is critical to note that the potential for economic damage and lasting inflation is restrained. … READ MORE >
Attack on Iran puts focus on energy markets
The primary focus across markets will be on the 20% of global petroleum and liquified natural gas that flows through Strait of Hormuz daily and the price of Brent crude, which stood at $72.87 per barrel on Friday. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: RSM GDP Nowcast showing 4.5% growth in first quarter
We can be confident that the rebound in government spending following the extended shutdown last fall will add about 1 to 1.5 percentage points to overall GDP growth. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Rising uncertainty and a flight to safety
The yields on long-term Treasury securities have fallen to the bottom of their recent trading ranges, with the 10-year bond testing 4% and the 30-year note dropping below 4.7%. … READ MORE >
Are the new tariffs justified under section 122? No.
No matter how one looks the current circumstances—the condition of the U.S. economy, its balance of payments or its currency regime—none of these meet the standards outlined under Section 122. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Indian rupee depreciation to continue
After years of the rupee declining in value, the forward markets expect the rupee to lose another 3.0% in each of the next five years. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Tariffs are struck down, but don’t count on price cuts
Even if tariff refunds eventually make their way onto corporate balance sheets, the operational costs tied to tariff uncertainty have already been paid. … READ MORE >
Economic implications of the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling
The Supreme Court overturned the Trump administration’s signature economic policy on Friday, ruling by a 6-3 majority that the imposition of tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act was illegal. The trade taxes included a minimum tariff of 10% with reciprocal tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on countries … … READ MORE >
In GDP and inflation data, a rich juxtaposition of discontent
The economy slowed to 1.4% in the fourth quarter, which is below its 1.8% long-term trend, while the personal consumption expenditures price index stands at 2.9%. … READ MORE >









