May income, spending and inflation data points toward a consumer adjusting to a more challenging economic environment and should dampen talk of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in July or September. … READ MORE >
Economics
Market Minute: The perils of appointing a shadow Fed chair
Such an appointment would cut against the grain of Fed independence and its institutional credibility developed over the past half century. … READ MORE >
Mixed economic data points to bumpy road ahead
Looking forward, expect more volatility in June from geopolitical tensions and in July when the tariff pause expires. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Dollar depreciation disrupts its safe-haven status
The American dollar has depreciated against all 14 major trading currencies as investors diversify away from risk associated with dollar-denominated assets. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: In financial conditions, it’s as if nothing happened
The rebound in equities suggests that investors have shrugged off tariffs, and it is as if the Middle East conflict never really happened. … READ MORE >
Canada’s consumer price index steady due to cooling housing market
Canada’s consumer price index rose 1.7 per cent in May thanks to a more balanced housing market and smaller increases in travel prices. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Why are mortgages so expensive?
Mortgage rates have retreated somewhat since their 2023 peak but remain higher than what we would normally expect. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Supply shocks and inflation expectations
The escalation of hostilities in the Middle East over the weekend could very well be the next step in a broader global supply shock. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz at risk
The prospect of an expansion of hostilities in the Middle East has put in focus a potential oil supply shock if shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is significantly disrupted. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Canada’s trade outlook not as bleak as feared
While uncertainty plagues Canada’s trade outlook, a relatively low U.S. effective tariff rate means things might not be as bleak as they seemed back in March. … READ MORE >