Inflation inside the consumer price index continued to moderate in August as the top-line figure increased by 0.2% on the month and by 2.5% on a year-ago basis. … READ MORE >
Economics
Financial markets update: Front-running the Fed’s first cut, and our new call on rates
We are updating our year-end rate call to 3.7% on the 10-year yield with risk of a move lower as growth, inflation and hiring cool. … READ MORE >
Canada’s job market continued to cool in August
The data in Canada’s labour survey for August paints a picture of a cooling job market as the economy added a mere 22,000 jobs and the unemployment rate rose to 6.6 per cent. … READ MORE >
U.S. August jobs report: A soft landing in the economy
Hiring is cooling and we expect that will define the second half of the year as firms manage their mix of capital and labor to meet demand. … READ MORE >
Job openings fall amid imminent rate cuts
With job openings falling back to normal and the labor supply increasing, the labor market was in balance in July. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada cuts its policy rate to 4.25 per cent
Rates need to come down for businesses to start hiring again and to help those workers struggling to find employment. … READ MORE >
Manufacturing sector declines at a slightly slower rate in August
A result of the slowdown was another month of employment declines, though at a slower pace at 46 compared to 43.4 in the prior month. … READ MORE >
Fed’s key inflation gauge shows price stability as consumers hit the accelerator
The American economy is poised to grow at or above the long-term 1.8% rate as the Fed begins its rate-cutting campaign, which should put a floor under growth and hiring. … READ MORE >
Second quarter GDP is revised higher amid stronger consumer spending
With price stability essentially achieved, a well-performing labor market should continue to be a significant tailwind for growth, especially for consumer spending, in the last two quarters of the year. … READ MORE >
Expect strong U.S. jobs report for August, but the devil is in the details
We expect a net gain in total employment of 175,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.2% when the employment report is released on Sept. 6. … READ MORE >