Canada’s housing starts appear steady at first glance—but below that surface-level stability, there are growing imbalances at the provincial level. … READ MORE >
Economics
Market Minute: Inventory cushion may be holding down inflation
Even as some goods showed early signs of tariff-induced inflation, businesses have for the most part managed to absorb the cost of the new trade taxes. … READ MORE >
The U.S. is in better position to endure an oil and gas shock
Overall, the impact of the most recent Middle East conflict on the U.S. economy will be muted, but the risks of the conflict expanding remain. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Patience is a virtue for the Fed
Based on our own model and the central bank’s recent rhetoric, the Fed will be and should be in no hurry to cut rates given the risk around the economic outlook. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims increased again. Is it time to worry?
New filings for unemployment benefits continued to climb last week, reaching 248,000 and nearing our threshold of 250,000 that suggests risk of a recession. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: It’s not the beans that cost more. It’s the can.
In a range of categories in the consumer price index where goods have been subject to tariffs like the 25% levy on steel and aluminum, prices increased significantly. … READ MORE >
Large declines in energy prices dampen a modest increase in inflation
Beneath the surface, one can see an emerging sketch of how inflation will increase across the economy as tariffs take effect. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Investment in an age of uncertainty
Investors should prepare for an extended period of dollar weakness, inflation and higher interest rates. … READ MORE >
The Market Minute from Joe Brusuelas, now available in your in-box
RSM Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas, In his daily Market Minute, offers a forward-looking analysis of the issues affecting businesses, markets and the economy … READ MORE >
Market Minute: The unbearable lightness of tariff timelines
Months after the United States began to announce sweeping new tariffs, businesses and consumers face more uncertainty, not less. … READ MORE >