The term premium turned positive in early November and increased to more than 0.7 percentage points in January. … READ MORE >
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Market Minute: Markets reassess geopolitical risk
A rare simultaneous selloff in the dollar, Treasuries and equities comprise what the investing community has labeled the sell America trade. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Fed independence and the sum of all fears
Today, the sum of all fears among central bankers and economists can in large part be traced to the mistakes of the Arthur Burns era at the Fed. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada prudently holds interest rate ahead of 2026 challenges
The Bank of Canada held its key interest rate at 2.25 per cent—a prudent pause as the country’s labour market remains soft and unemployment remains elevated. … READ MORE >
Holiday shopping scams are growing—here’s how to outsmart them
Awareness and vigilance are your best holiday defences as cyber scams surge and AI-powered deception looks nearly indistinguishable from reality. … READ MORE >
RSM UK’s outlook for 2026: Fiscal contraction brings short-term pain
A large fiscal contraction combined with weak consumer confidence and sagging business sentiment means we expect growth of only 0.8% in 2026. … READ MORE >
RSM Canada’s outlook for 2026: A struggle for growth amid trade tensions
We expect Canada to have another modest year of growth in 2026 amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States and a continuing oil glut that will dampen export prices. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Canada’s financial conditions and its monetary policy path
Policy rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve are in response to both countries’ economies absorbing adverse policy shocks along with a slowing pace of hiring and wage growth. … READ MORE >
Canada’s economy slowing as major free-trade renegotiation looms
Canada’s subdued economic activity and the drop in inflation despite ongoing tariffs imply that the Bank of Canada could cut interest rates again this year. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada holds interest rate amid economic resilience, trade tensions
The Bank of Canada held its key interest rate at 2.75 per cent amid Canada’s overall economic resilience and ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. … READ MORE >