A lot is happening in the economy, but one trend has become clear: The economy is slowing but not enough to guarantee a rate cut. … READ MORE >
Industrials
Market Minute: What trade policy whiplash could mean for inventories
Businesses experiencing trade policy whiplash are seeking to get as much as possible into U.S. ports before higher import taxes are enforced. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Manufacturing stuck in slow growth despite increased shipments
While shipments of durable goods manufactured in the U.S. are increasing, it’s clear that manufacturing is stuck in a period of slow growth. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Manufacturing sector to slow in second half
The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index implies that the broader manufacturing sector will slow into the second half of the year. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Canada’s trade outlook not as bleak as feared
While uncertainty plagues Canada’s trade outlook, a relatively low U.S. effective tariff rate means things might not be as bleak as they seemed back in March. … READ MORE >
Canada’s unemployment rate hits 7% despite some resilience
Despite some economic resilience, Canada’s unemployment rate hit 7 per cent as the damage from tariffs and trade uncertainty permeates the labour market. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: May jobs report to reflect a modest cooling
We expect a gain of 125,000 jobs and a modest increase in the unemployment rate to 4.3% when the U.S. employment report for May is released on Friday. … READ MORE >
Tariffs weigh on manufacturing and construction
The impact of tariffs on manufacturing activity was in full force in May, according to business executives surveyed by the Institute for Supply Management, as falling demand and rising prices occurred simultaneously. … READ MORE >
Canada’s economy grows 0.5% in 1st quarter due to exports, but challenges loom
Canada’s economy grew in the first quarter largely due to pre-tariff efforts, but ongoing uncertainty means the economy is expected to contract next quarter. … READ MORE >
Inflation falls in Canada as end of consumer carbon tax offsets other increases
Canada’s consumer price index (CPI) fell to 1.7% in April thanks to the removal of the consumer carbon price and lower crude oil prices. For now, price increases associated with U.S. tariffs seem to have been kept at bay. The end of the consumer carbon tax should continue to apply … … READ MORE >