February's jobs data in Canada showed a still-strong labor market that did not offer any relief in terms of keeping inflation under control. The net change in total employment dropped to 21,800 from a whopping 150,000 increase in January yet remained above the expectations of only ... READ MORE >
Inflation
U.S. job creation remains robust, implying more aggressive rate hikes
If one wanted to create a confluence of cross-currents that make the job of policymakers more difficult, one might choose the combination of a red-hot economy, robust job gains, elevated inflation and an estimated $620 billion in potentially unrealized losses inside the banking ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims spike to highest level since December
New claims for jobless benefits last week came in hotter than expected at 211,000, significantly higher than the 190,000 of the previous week, the Department of Labor reported on Thursday. The increase was in line with expectations following a large number of high-profile layoff announcements ... READ MORE >
Job openings remained plentiful in January, adding to pressure on the Fed
Job openings fell in January yet still came in hotter than expected, offering the Federal Reserve no relief in its fight against inflation. The central bank faces a crucial decision when it meets in two weeks: Whether to maintain its current peak policy rate of 5.5%, as it had announced a few ... READ MORE >
RSM US Financial Conditions Index tightens as market sees a hard landing
The RSM US Financial Conditions Index inched down to 0.6 standard deviations below neutral from 0.4 previously as policymakers, investors and firm managers prepare for a period of higher interest rates and persistent inflation. Markets are moving to price in a hard landing around a ... READ MORE >
February’s jobs report is likely to generate more questions than answers
The February jobs report will most likely provide another questionable estimate of labor conditions in the American economy, overstating the pace of hiring in the private sector. We expect a net change in total employment of 310,000 when the data is released on Friday, with many of the gains ... READ MORE >
New jobless claims fall again amid strong labor market
Initial claims for unemployment benefits inched down further last week, remaining near a multi-decade low amid a persistently tight job market. New claims dropped by 2,000 to 190,000 for the week ending Feb. 24, lower than the pre-pandemic average of 218,000, according to Labor Department ... READ MORE >
Consumer confidence falls in February amid a worsening outlook
American consumer confidence fell for the second straight month in February as expectations deteriorated to the lowest point since last July, the Conference Board reported on Tuesday. The top-line confidence index dropped to 102.9 from 106.0 in the prior month, while the expectations index ... READ MORE >
Canada’s economy stalled even as consumer spending held up
The Canadian economy stalled in the fourth quarter, eking out a 0.03% gain in a significant downside surprise from expectations of a 1.6% increase. But the disappointing growth underestimated the spending strength of the Canadian consumers. Final consumption expenditures rose by a sharp 2.1%, after ... READ MORE >
Business spending on equipment rose in January
Investments in business equipment posted a sharp rebound in January after two consecutive months of disappointing declines. While the Commerce Department’s data released on Monday showed some resilience from private businesses, there were reasons to be cautious because January’s data can be ... READ MORE >