Service sector growth inched up in August, marking the 27th month in a row of expansion despite recession fears. … READ MORE >
Inflation
Falling gas prices imply further inflation relief
This recent decline in gas prices should put downward pressure on top-line monthly inflation when the consumer price index for August is released on Sept. 13. … READ MORE >
U.S. August jobs report: Another robust month as employment increases by 315,000
American labor market dynamics remain tilted toward sustained strength in hiring and rising wages. … READ MORE >
Jobless claims show that jobs remain plentiful
First-time claims for unemployment benefits declined to 232,000 for the week ending Aug. 27 as continuing claims increased modestly. … READ MORE >
After a strong recovery in Canada, economic headwinds set in
The Canadian economy has had a year of robust recovery, but now that growth is slowing as economic headwinds set in. … READ MORE >
How high must unemployment rise to tame inflation?
To reduce inflation to acceptable levels, it will be necessary to destroy between 1.7 million and 5.3 million jobs. … READ MORE >
Powell at Jackson Hole: From era of abundance to one of insufficient supply
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was blunt in his remarks at Jackson Hole, Wyo.: “Reducing inflation is likely to require a sustained period of below-trend growth.” … READ MORE >
Spending remains steady on strong income growth and inflation relief
U.S. personal income and spending in July signaled a gradual rebound of the economy in the third quarter after six months of declines in gross domestic product. … READ MORE >
Expectations at the end of business cycles
The Federal Reserve has a blunt yet effective instrument to fight inflation: raising the federal funds rate. But using it requires a delicate balancing act. We offer a snapshot of what to look for as the economic cycle plays out. … READ MORE >
RSM U.S. Supply Chain Index: Back to normal for first time since pandemic hit
The U.S. Supply Chain Index in July was back above neutral for the first time in nearly three years, suggesting substantial relief coming from the supply-induced components of inflation. … READ MORE >