Top-line inflation in the personal consumption expenditures index increased in June by 0.1% and by 2.5% on a year-ago basis. … READ MORE >
Inflation
American economy grew by 2.8% in second quarter, exceeding forecasts
A strong labor market, rising real wages and a 1% increase in disposable income bolstered household spending, which advanced by a sustainable 2.3%. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada reduces rate to 4.5 per cent amid disinflation
With widespread disinflation and rising unemployment, our estimates show that the Bank of Canada’s policy rate is still a percentage point too high. … READ MORE >
GDP preview: U.S. top-line growth to show solid increase
The Fed will maintain its policy rate in a range between 5.25% and 5.5% when it meets at the end of July. But we anticipate a change in the committee’s policy statement that will signal a rate cut is on the table in September. … READ MORE >
Canada’s CPI in June shows disinflation and suggests rate cut
While inflation will continue to decrease, price levels are much higher than a few years ago, and that is something that can only get more palatable with higher income levels. … READ MORE >
Why a strong dollar is in America’s best interests
A strong dollar not only means that there is a healthy demand for American-made goods and services, but, perhaps more important, it is also a show of confidence in the U.S. government and financial institutions. … READ MORE >
Producer prices rise 0.2%, but signs still point to lower inflation in Fed’s key gauge
Despite the producer price index coming in stronger than expected on Friday, the Federal Reserve’s most important measure of inflation, the personal consumption expenditures index, should remain near zero in June. … READ MORE >
Further disinflation in the June consumer price index points to a Fed rate cut
The road is now open to a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. Broad-based core goods inflation along with easing energy and transportation costs all continue be the primary factors behind inflation’s decline from 9.1% in June 2022 to its current 3%. … READ MORE >
As economy cools, Fed needs to cut rates
This overall slowing should result in the Federal Reserve’s reducing its federal funds policy rate by 25 basis points in September and December, which would put it a range between 4.75% and 5%. … READ MORE >
Canada’s economic outlook: The dawn of recovery
While challenges remain in Canada’s economy, particularly high housing costs, expected rate cuts and continued population growth provide a foundation for renewed prosperity. … READ MORE >