Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the Kansas City Fed symposium on monetary policy in Jackson Hole, Wyo., showed that the central bank is preparing for a policy pivot toward a rate cut designed to protect and preserve the economic soft landing achieved by the Fed. In his statement, ... READ MORE >
Search Results for: inflation
Jobless claims stabilize amid concerns over weak job gains
With most of the seasonal fluctuations in the weekly jobs data having eased, new filings for unemployment benefits have returned to a healthier level over the past three weeks. Initial claims last week rose by only 4,000, to 232,000, on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to government data released ... READ MORE >
The Fed nears a pivot: A webinar from RSM US and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce
With inflation easing and the labor market cooling, the Federal Reserve has signaled that it is poised to cut interest rates. But for how long, and what will the economy look like if the Fed follows through? Join RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas and U.S. Chamber of Commerce Executive Vice President ... READ MORE >
Seven reasons why the U.S. economy will not fall into recession
Market panics are a normal part of American business cycles. The recent scare, driven by a combination of slower hiring and the partial unwinding of the global carry trade, stands in contrast with resilient household spending, a fiscal tailwind and solid, if unspectacular, fixed business investment in the ... READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment rebounds in August
Consumer sentiment rose for the first time in five months, according to the University of Michigan’s survey in August. The increase is driven by the jump in expectations as consumer sentiment about the next 12 months look better. The topline sentiment index is up to 67.8 from 66.4 in July, with the ... READ MORE >
Robust July retail sales defy growth scare
While robust July retail sales numbers might come as a surprise given the various pressures on American consumers, the data was very well in line with our forecasts ahead of the Thursday data release from the Commerce Department. Further disinflation and 15 consecutive months of positive real wage growth ... READ MORE >
Producer prices grow slower than expected, adding evidence to support rate cut
A drop in July’s producer inflation suggests another month of favorable inflation data that should help seal the deal for a rate cut in September and more afterwards. The final demand inflation rose 0.1% in July and 2.2% from a year ago. Even better, the core component of the producer inflation number ... READ MORE >
Canada’s weak job market supports further rate cuts
Canada’s July jobs report spelled out the need for more rate cuts as the economy shed 2,800 jobs, according to data released Friday by Statistics Canada. The unemployment rate stayed steady at 6.4% as labour force participation fell in a challenging market. Some youth and women had stopped looking for ... READ MORE >
Consumer products M&A: Cautious buyers limit activity
The first half of 2024 continued the downward trajectory of consumer products deal volumes. Cautious buyers weighed economic and political uncertainty, a softening consumer, and the lack of clarity on the timing and extent of interest rates against continued high seller expectations and limited ... READ MORE >
Service sector bounces back in July, easing growth concerns
Few observers could have expected that the ISM service index would become the market’s savior this week, but that is what happened. The index rose to positive territory at 51.4 after dropping in June to 48.8, suggesting that some of the concerns over an imminent recession looked overblown. We remain ... READ MORE >