After more than a year of whipsaw change brought on by the pandemic, many business owners have decided to retire. A recent survey of business owners conducted by the Wilmington Trust found that the pandemic is behind this rush to retire, adding another unexpected wrinkle to a devastating year. But ... READ MORE >
coronavirus
May personal income and spending: Weak top line, but data looks better beyond the noise
The financial condition of American households is improving as the economy moves toward a full reopening and job opportunities expand. Although personal income declined by 2% in May and personal spending was flat, according to government data released Friday, one has to look beyond the noise associated ... READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Industrial trade deficit rises amid growing domestic demand
The U.S. goods trade deficit for industrial products increased in May as the value of industrial supplies, capital goods and autos imported continued to outpace exports of such goods. This is in line with the overall U.S. goods trade deficit, which increased to $88.1 billion from $85.7 billion in ... READ MORE >
Data deluge: Jobless claims ease to 411,000 as durable goods orders rise 1.1%
First-time jobless claims eased to 411,000 for the week ending June 19, a slight decline from the revised figure of 418,000 for the previous week, according to government data released Thursday. The decline is indicative of what will be a long road to normalization in the pace of firings that ... READ MORE >
FOMC comment: Fed creates context to end pandemic policy efforts
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday took another step in the long road to policy normalization in the post-pandemic economy. At the monthly meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the central bank kept its policy rate unchanged in a range between 0 and 25 basis points. But it is clear that given the ... READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Housing market stays steady despite headwinds
The housing market in the United States remained resilient in May as developers continued to grapple with higher costs amid a shortage of supply. Housing starts rose 3.6% to 1.57 million while permits dipped 3% to 1.68 million, according to Commerce Department data released on Wednesday. While off the ... READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Retail sales cool as stimulus boost wears off
After two months of growth fueled in part by stimulus payments, retail sales cooled off in May, falling 1.3% and missing analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg of a 0.8% gain, according to Commerce Department data released Tuesday. But the drop in sales is likely more noise than signal as the economy ... READ MORE >
FOMC preview: Growth and inflation and tapering, oh my!
The Federal Open Market Committee will leave its policy rate unchanged at its meeting this week, but that decision will mask an underlying shift in its economic projections and policies. Consider three areas where this shift is occurring: The dot plot, which shows committee members’ projections for ... READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: U.S. household net worth surges, but the gains are uneven
The financial condition of U.S. households continued to improve in the first quarter, according to recent data released by the Federal Reserve. The net worth of households increased by nearly $5 trillion, or 3.8%, from the previous quarter to a record of $136.9 trillion, according to the data. On a ... READ MORE >
What’s behind the recent decline in 10-year Treasury yields
The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds has dropped nearly 25 basis points to below 1.5%, touching 1.42% overnight on June 11 from its recent peak of 1.74% on March 31. If the initial move up to 1.74% can be rationalized as a response to the risks around higher growth and inflation, then this recent move ... READ MORE >