We are entering the colder months – when infections are expected to rise as people move inside – and we have yet to lower the rate of infection to the insignificant levels that might allow for the normalization of activity. … READ MORE >
Covid-19
CHART OF THE DAY: New home sales continue to surge
Sales of new homes have continued to reach new heights, increasing by 4.8% to a seasonally adjusted rate of a little more than 1 million for August – the first time they had eclipsed that mark since 2006. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims: No meaningful improvement in the pace of firings
Initial jobless claims for the week ending Sept. 19 arrived at 870,000, up from 860,000 during the previous week, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Manufacturers signaled acceleration in September
Manufacturers in September reported the fastest improvement in operating conditions since January 2019, according to the U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers’ index released by IHS Markit on Wednesday. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Resurgence of pandemic in the U.K.
The sharp sell-off across financial markets on Monday is linked to fears about a global resurgence of the pandemic. Nowhere is that more evident than in the U.K. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Consumer sentiment continues its climb back
The index of U.S. consumer sentiment index continued to climb back from the depths of the economic shutdown in April, the University of Michigan reported Friday. … READ MORE >
Tracking the spread of COVID-19: A resurgent virus, and a grim milestone
Following a late-summer lull in the coronavirus pandemic, the rate of infections has resumed its increase in the United States and is poised to intensify in the coming weeks, RSM’s modeling shows. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Housing starts decline 5.1%
Housing starts declined 5.1% month over month in August, while forward-looking building permits held steady with a slight decline of .9%, the Commerce Department reported on Thursday. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims remain elevated at 860,000
The pace of firings in the economy remains well above anything observed during the Great Financial Crisis as 860,000 workers filed for first-time jobless claims for the week ending Sept. 12, a reflection of the deep scarring in the domestic labor market and economy. … READ MORE >
Monetary policy and inflation in the modern era
By adopting a flexible average inflation target, the Fed is using its most important tool — forward guidance – to infuse confidence in investors and the general public that it will do all it can to sustain the economic recovery needed in the wake of the coronavirus. … READ MORE >