The shift in the spending cycle because of tariffs might explain why consumers pulled back in September after front-running new tariffs over the summer. … READ MORE >
Federal Reserve
RSM’s U.S. outlook for 2026: An acceleration in growth
We expect economic growth to rebound to 2.2% in 2026, with the PCE inflation rate reaching 2.7% and the unemployment rate rising to 4.5%. … READ MORE >
Split in FOMC points to a pause in cuts, October minutes show
The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s October meeting provided unmistakable evidence of a split between hawks and doves, with a slight tilt toward the hawks. … READ MORE >
Falling demand suggests further labor market deterioration
Fresh data from ADP, Revelio Labs and Challenger, Gray & Christmas all point to the prospect that weakness in labor demand is becoming entrenched and is not temporary. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Canada’s financial conditions and its monetary policy path
Policy rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve are in response to both countries’ economies absorbing adverse policy shocks along with a slowing pace of hiring and wage growth. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: The end of quantitative tightening
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday moved to end its balance sheet runoff, or quantitative tightening, to address increasing liquidity strains across short-term funding markets. … READ MORE >
Fed cuts its policy rate and sets end to quantitative tightening
The Federal Reserve reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range between 3.75% and 4% on Wednesday while announcing an end to its runoff of its $6.58 trillion balance sheet by Dec. 1. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Slowing wage growth amid rising prices
After peaking at 6.5% in early 2023, yearly wage growth for full-time workers declined to 4.3% by August this year. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: At FOMC meeting, a rate cut and the end of quantitative tightening
The Federal Open Market Committee is likely to reduce its federal funds policy rate by a quarter point to a range of 3.75% to 4% at its meeting on Wednesday. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Financial conditions, rate cuts and the FOMC
The Federal Open Market Committee is likely to reduce its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range between 3.75% and 4% at its next meeting on Oct. 29. … READ MORE >