While nominal gains in spending and income look strong on the topline, adjusting for inflation is necessary—and subsequently implies an economy that is growing just above 1 percent. … READ MORE >
inflation
Market Minute: Look beneath CPI headline to see the impact of tariffs
I expect a monthly increase of 0.3% in the top-line figure and the core, and annual increases of 2.8% for top line and 3% for the core. … READ MORE >
Fed’s preferred inflation gauge accelerates in June as tariffs bite
Inflation picked up in June, driven largely by tariffs, according to the personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. … READ MORE >
The Fed holds rates steady as two board members dissent
The OMC held its policy rate in a range between 4.25% and 4.5% on Wednesday as it slightly opened the door to a rate cut this fall., … READ MORE >
Canada’s consumer price index steady due to cooling housing market
Canada’s consumer price index rose 1.7 per cent in May thanks to a more balanced housing market and smaller increases in travel prices. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Canada’s trade outlook not as bleak as feared
While uncertainty plagues Canada’s trade outlook, a relatively low U.S. effective tariff rate means things might not be as bleak as they seemed back in March. … READ MORE >
Canadian household net worth rises despite economic uncertainty
Canadian household net worth rose for a sixth quarter in a row—but this trend could reverse next quarter as the effects of trade tensions persist and spread. … READ MORE >
Canada’s unemployment rate hits 7% despite some resilience
Despite some economic resilience, Canada’s unemployment rate hit 7 per cent as the damage from tariffs and trade uncertainty permeates the labour market. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada holds interest rate again amid economic volatility
Despite a better-than-expected first quarter for Canada’s economy, the Bank of Canada held its interest rate again as it contends with tariff uncertainty and economic volatility. … READ MORE >
Canada’s economy grows 0.5% in 1st quarter due to exports, but challenges loom
Canada’s economy grew in the first quarter largely due to pre-tariff efforts, but ongoing uncertainty means the economy is expected to contract next quarter. … READ MORE >