Service sector growth inched up in August, marking the 27th month in a row of expansion despite recession fears. … READ MORE >
inflation
After a strong recovery in Canada, economic headwinds set in
The Canadian economy has had a year of robust recovery, but now that growth is slowing as economic headwinds set in. … READ MORE >
How high must unemployment rise to tame inflation?
To reduce inflation to acceptable levels, it will be necessary to destroy between 1.7 million and 5.3 million jobs. … READ MORE >
Expectations at the end of business cycles
The Federal Reserve has a blunt yet effective instrument to fight inflation: raising the federal funds rate. But using it requires a delicate balancing act. We offer a snapshot of what to look for as the economic cycle plays out. … READ MORE >
University of Michigan survey: Consumer sentiment rises on better economic outlook
U.S. consumer sentiment rose more than expected in August on the back of the sharp drop in gasoline prices, but remains near a record low as consumers shouldered multi-decade-high inflation and continuing economic uncertainty. … READ MORE >
US July CPI: Inflation posts likely peak as commodity, gas and transportation prices fall
Commodity, oil, and gasoline prices declined noticeably in July, driving the pace of top-line inflation lower even as core inflation continued to increase at a torrid pace. This will provide a large boost to overall consumption and economic activity as Americans likely spent roughly $400 million less on gas compared to the previous month which will result in improved consumption and direct relief to beleaguered households. … READ MORE >
Job openings drop in June amid Fed’s attempt to control inflation
Job openings in the United States fell for the third straight month in June as the labor market started to loosen up, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Tuesday. Job openings—which represent labor demand—have been the main target of the Federal Reserve to lessen the second-round impact on wage-pushed inflation. … READ MORE >
Have we entered a “goods-cession” or goods fatigue?
While inflation is certainly a factor in consumer spending habits, goods fatigue is likely another. … READ MORE >
American spending and income eroded by multi-decade high inflation
As the first-round effect of inflation on goods and services continues to play out, the second-round effect on wage pressure is showing more concerning signs. … READ MORE >
FOMC policy decision: Fed hikes policy rate by 75 basis points
At this critical juncture, with the policy rate residing in neutral terrain, it is natural for the Fed to adjust its rhetoric as it considers next steps. … READ MORE >