Canada’s economy had a bumpy ride in the past year, as the promise of mass vaccinations was followed by supply chain disruptions, a global energy crisis and rising inflation. Looking ahead to next year, we see a Canadian economy continuing to recover, even as businesses and consumers contend with ... READ MORE >
inflation
Powell reappointed to lead the Fed, with Brainard elevated to vice chairwoman
The Biden administration’s widely expected reappointment of Jerome Powell as chairman of the Federal Reserve on Monday is a strong step toward providing stability and clarity for financial markets at a time when the central bank is under pressure to accelerate efforts to address inflation. In our ... READ MORE >
Looking ahead to 2022 and what to expect in the economy
Nearly two years into the pandemic, there are signs that the worst of a once-in-a-century shock to the global economy is beginning to fade. As the economy approaches a full reopening, we expect growth in 2022 will exceed 4%, the unemployment rate will fall to 3.5% and job growth will average ... READ MORE >
Inflation in Canada hits 4.7% amid soaring gas prices
October inflation in Canada climbed to 4.7%, the highest since February 2003 and up from 4.4% in September, primarily because of skyrocketing gasoline prices, according Consumer Price Index data released by Statistics Canada on Wednesday. Excluding food and energy, inflation stood at a more ... READ MORE >
U.S. inflation reached a three-decade high in October
Inflation continued to surge in October, mostly on the back of seasonal influences that boosted the cost of energy, transportation and food, sending the consumer price index up by 6.2% on an annual basis, a three-decade high. This data will complicate the Federal Reserve’s patient stance on rising ... READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Producer prices rise as cost pressures mount
The producer price index inched up 0.6% in October with about a third of the increase coming from higher gasoline prices. This followed a 0.5% increase in September and a 0.7% increase in August, according to a report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday. Still, October’s increase remained ... READ MORE >
Inflation in Canada persists amid shortages
Inflation is proving to be persistent in Canada, with the Consumer Price Index increasing at an annual pace of 4.4% in September amid shortages of workers and supplies. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, the index rose by a more moderate 3.3% on a year-over-year basis, but it was ... READ MORE >
Consumer Price Index: Inflation eased in August, but it’s too soon to declare victory
Score a victory for team transitory in the inflation wars. The Consumer Price Index eased in August, reaffirming our view that inflation most likely formed a peak in the summer following the historic supply shock that defined pandemic economics starting last year. Top-line inflation eased to 5.3% on a ... READ MORE >
Interest rate update: Inflation expectations remain subdued
In the modern era of monetary policy and moderate growth, global authorities have shown twice in the past decade their ability to counter horrific shocks to the financial sector and economic activity. Therefore, inflation expectations remain remarkably well anchored despite the recent five-month surge in ... READ MORE >
July Consumer Price Index: Inflation moderates and likely posts cyclical peak at 5.4%
The five-month surge in inflation has most likely resulted in a cyclical peak, reaching 5.4% in July on the back of a 0.5% increase on the month. The core Consumer Price Index excluding the more volatile food and energy components increased by 0.3% on the month and by 4.3% on a year-ago basis, ... READ MORE >