While many are concerned that the economy is heading toward a recession, new data on spending and the labor market suggest otherwise. It's hard to bet against the American economy when the most recent data has surprised to the upside. Significant revisions to income and gross domestic product from 2020 ... READ MORE >
initial jobless claims
Jobless claims stabilize amid concerns over weak job gains
With most of the seasonal fluctuations in the weekly jobs data having eased, new filings for unemployment benefits have returned to a healthier level over the past three weeks. Initial claims last week rose by only 4,000, to 232,000, on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to government data released ... READ MORE >
Productivity continues to climb as investments take hold
The rebound of labor productivity in the second quarter is another sign of why the economy will continue to be on strong footing despite growing concerns over a labor market slowdown. The second quarter’s labor productivity growth was 2.3%, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. Not only did the ... READ MORE >
Slower growth raises prospect of a Fed rate cut
Economic growth appeared much softer in the first five months of the year following the release of key economic data on Thursday. Slower-than-anticipated growth should push the Federal Reserve closer to cutting interest rates. Read more of RSM's insights on the economy, manufacturing and the middle ... READ MORE >
Jobless claims ease as housing starts drop
Initial jobless claims dropped by 5,000 last week to 238,000 yet remained elevated near a 10-month high. For now, the spike in new claims in the previous weeks looks a lot more like a seasonal issue than a deterioration in labor market conditions. In contrast, housing starts fell in May to the lowest ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims jump as inflation continues to improve
Initial jobless claims jumped to 242,000 for the week ending June 8 from 229,000 the week before, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. The latest figure was the highest level in almost a year, nearing the threshold of 250,000 that in our view signals conditions for a possible recession. It ... READ MORE >
U.S. new home sales miss forecasts amid rising mortgage rates
New home sales fell below estimates in April as mortgage rates surged to above 7%. The data, released by the Census Bureau on Thursday, pointed to a disappointing month for housing sales, following the drop in April’s existing home sales released on Wednesday. The rebound in inflation in the first ... READ MORE >
Soft housing and manufacturing data fuels prospect of rate cut
Economic data on housing, manufacturing and jobs released on Thursday pointed to softer-than-expected economic activity in the second quarter. Most notably was April’s data on housing starts and permits, which not only came in below estimates, but prior readings were also revised down. Rising mortgage ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims rise to the highest level since August
Initial jobless claims rose by 231,000, the highest level since August, for the week ending May. 4 partly because of a one-time surge in New York as school vacations began. At the same time, new filings rose in many other states as well in a sign of rising layoffs and a cooling labor market. But the ... READ MORE >
Existing home sales plunge amid stable jobless claims
March proved challenging for the housing market as sales of existing homes plummeted by 4.3%, marking the steepest drop since November 2022, according to the National Association of Realtors on Thursday. This decline mirrors earlier setbacks in housing starts and permits. A significant uptick in ... READ MORE >