The 10-year and 30-year gilts in the U.K. in particular are being charged a higher risk premium. … READ MORE >
Joe Brusuelas
Market Minute: Fed rate cuts on hold as inflation risks mount
Expect the Fed to hold rates steady on Wednesday while raising its inflation forecast and reducing its estimates for growth and employment. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Great expectations and inflation dynamics
For years, near-term public expectations of inflation were largely discounted in favor of longer-term indicators. Not anymore. … READ MORE >
PCE inflation data shows the calm before the storm
On a month-over-month basis, the top-line PCE index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, increased by 0.3%, with the core rate excluding food and energy rising by 0.4%. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Lofty jet fuel costs to curb travel
Jet fuel costs have increased by 81% since the start of the war in Iran and are up by 124% this year. a surge in airfares is imminent. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Financial markets holding up under stress
Overall financial conditions as measured by the risk priced into equity, bond and money markets remain somewhat accommodative but less so because of the war in the Mideast. … READ MORE >
Does tapping oil reserves reduce gas prices?
The U.S. consumes roughly 20 million barrels of oil per day. Even the most aggressive release, like in 2022, amounts to only a few weeks of supply. … READ MORE >
February CPI report: Beware the Ides of March
Investors should anticipate rising inflation in March as the impact of the war in the Middle East and surging energy prices is felt in the economy. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Global financial conditions, one week into the Iran war
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed, the current shock is a problem of supply for the oil and natural gas that are critical to the global industrial base. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: The U.S. economy and markets after seven days of war
The economic imbalances among households across the American economy will become a searing focal point should this conflict endure. … READ MORE >