Both top-line and core inflation remain hot, sticky and elevated, which implies another rate increase of 75 basis points at the Fed’s November meeting. … READ MORE >
Joseph Brusuelas
RSM UK Financial Conditions Index implies rising risk of instability
The RSM UK Financial Conditions Index is warning of a dramatic increase in credit risk that, along with the depreciation of sterling, has the potential to derail commercial activity. … READ MORE >
U.S. jobs report: Hiring slows as another 75-basis-point rate increase looms
The U.S. economy is proving far more resilient in the face of sustained pricing pressures than otherwise thought a short time ago. … READ MORE >
Amid global economic turmoil, stress grips fixed-income markets
Fixed-income markets are signaling a shift in perceptions of financial stability and raising a caution flag for investors. … READ MORE >
Fed raises its policy rate by 75 basis points and sees more increases
The Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 75 basis points on Wednesday, the third straight increase of that size and a sign that it is continuing its aggressive push to tame inflation. … READ MORE >
Are we entering an era of central bank intervention in currency markets?
Central banks may be reconsidering their long-held reluctance to intervene in currency markets, notably the Japanese yen. … READ MORE >
U.S. August CPI: Core inflation arrives hot even as gas prices fall
Premature calls for the Fed to pause its campaign to tame inflation should be politely dismissed given the 0.1% increase in top-line inflation in August. … READ MORE >
Falling gas prices imply further inflation relief
This recent decline in gas prices should put downward pressure on top-line monthly inflation when the consumer price index for August is released on Sept. 13. … READ MORE >
U.S. August jobs report: Another robust month as employment increases by 315,000
American labor market dynamics remain tilted toward sustained strength in hiring and rising wages. … READ MORE >
ISM manufacturing: Sentiment points to modest increase in growth
Manufacturing sentiment in August pointed toward a modest acceleration in growth inside the ISM manufacturing survey, even as the headline number stayed flat at 52.8 compared to July. … READ MORE >