While it is too early to quantify the tariffs’ overall impact, a rough estimate implies between a 0.5% and 0.75% drag on growth this year and a one-time 0.6% increase in prices. … READ MORE >
tariffs
U.S. tariffs promise volatility, recession for Canada
Canada’s economic landscape is set to change dramatically as U.S. tariffs take effect. A recession is anticipated this year if all measures remain in place. … READ MORE >
Defense buildup in Europe points to a broader fiscal realignment
The financial implications of higher European defense spending implies that a broader fiscal realignment could take place. That is what is behind the rising equity valuations and the rise in the benchmark German 10-year yield. … READ MORE >
Manufacturing prices rise in February amid higher tariffs
The prices paid subindex in the ISM manufacturing report rose to 62.4 in February, the highest level since June 2022, from 54.9 in January. … READ MORE >
Canada’s economy surged last quarter, but U.S. tariff threats cloud 2025 forecast
Canada’s economy showed promising growth in the last quarter of 2024 and is poised to have a robust 2025—provided U.S. tariffs don’t take effect. … READ MORE >
Market minute: Soft economic landing at risk
Businesses, and the economy overall, face uncertainty amid the regime change in the global economy. … READ MORE >
The new mercantilism: Tariffs and currency manipulation in an era of U.S.-China tensions
After decades of growing trade and current account imbalances in the U.S., the new administration has set out to change this equation. Now, a new mercantilism, rooted in tariffs and trade protection, is emerging. … READ MORE >
The impact of tariffs: Balancing costs, supply chain and profitability
Raising tariffs can drive up consumer prices, lower demand and hurt business profitability. … READ MORE >
Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs turn uncertainty into concern for Canada
While new U.S. tariffs apply to all steel and aluminum imports, Canada will be the most impacted country as it is the largest source of U.S. imports by far. … READ MORE >
Canada’s unemployment rate falls to 6.6% as business sentiment improves
Canada’s economic resurgence appears well under way as January saw 76,000 new jobs and a lower unemployment rate as business sentiment improved. … READ MORE >