Estimates of logistics data in the RSM US Supply Chain Index, as seen in the index’s Nowcast, point to improved conditions in the U.S. supply chain heading into the end of the year. The demand-pull inflation—rising pricing pressure spurred by a shortage of supplies—that has altered at the Federal ... READ MORE >
pandemic
Initial jobless claims remain below pre-pandemic level despite seasonal volatility
New filings for jobless benefits last week advanced to 206,000, remaining below the pre-pandemic level from 2019 after falling to a 52-year low the week before at an upwardly revised 188,000—which many attributed to the seasonal adjustments around the holidays. We expect the claims data to be highly ... READ MORE >
FOMC meeting: Setting the stage for three rate hikes in 2022
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday set the stage for multiple increases in the federal funds policy rate next year by accelerating the tapering of asset purchases to $30 billion per month, up from $15 billion. The tapering should be wrapped up by March. This provides increased flexibility for the ... READ MORE >
Five things that retail sales tell us about holiday shopping
Navigating the strong headwinds from the pandemic has not been easy for retailers this holiday season, but here are five things we have learned about their response as reflected in the November retail sales data released by the Commerce Department on Wednesday. Stockings are already full October and ... READ MORE >
Canada inflation steady at 4.7% amid high gasoline and food prices
Canada’s inflation in November remained at 4.7% on an annual basis, primarily because of increasing prices for gasoline, food and shelter, according to data released by Statistics Canada on Wednesday. From the previous month, consumer prices rose slightly, by 0.2%. Excluding food and energy, the ... READ MORE >
U.S. November retail sales: Consumer spending moderates
The American consumer has held up remarkably well during the recent surge in inflation. But that was not the case in November as the pace of spending moderated to an 0.3% increase, which is likely because of an adjustment to rising prices, according to government data released Wednesday. The October ... READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Consumer sentiment improves slightly amid inflation
Consumer sentiment improved slightly in December, increasing from a decade low in November as concerns about gasoline and energy prices eased somewhat, according to the University of Michigan's consumer survey released on Friday. The headline consumer sentiment index rose to 70.4 on the month from 67.4 ... READ MORE >
U.S. Consumer Price Index: Inflation broadens out as shelter costs rise by 4.8%
November inflation data, rising by 6.8% on the year, offered no relief for American households as energy and transportation costs continued to drive prices higher. While there is some relief over the horizon on both fronts—falling oil and gasoline prices, as well as the return of North American ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims fall to 52-year low amid labor shortages
New filings for jobless benefits dropped to the lowest level since 1969 last week as robust labor demand continued to leave businesses with no choice but to hold on to their workers. The claims fell to 184,000 for the week ending Dec. 4, down from 227,000 in the previous week, according to Labor ... READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Job openings rise to second highest on record as quit rate slowed
The demand for labor stayed strong in October as concerns over the delta variant faded and the economy continued to bounce back from the pandemic. Job openings, a proxy for labor demand, reached 11.03 million, exceeding 11 million for the second time on record, slightly lower than the all-time high set ... READ MORE >